← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.67+0.95vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.82vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland-0.08+0.03vs Predicted
-
4American University-0.86-0.19vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-0.93-0.56vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-0.59-2.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-2.83-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.95Virginia Tech0.6745.1%1st Place
-
4.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.605.0%1st Place
-
3.03University of Maryland-0.0818.2%1st Place
-
3.81American University-0.8610.5%1st Place
-
4.44Drexel University-0.937.0%1st Place
-
3.59William and Mary-0.5912.8%1st Place
-
6.35University of Delaware-2.831.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 45.1% | 28.1% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 32.1% | 12.9% |
| Jared Cohen | 18.2% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.5% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 3.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 8.8% |
| Finian Knight | 12.8% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 10.4% | 2.8% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.