← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.82+4.44vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.42+1.82vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University0.58+6.11vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.23vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.59+1.09vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.97-0.94vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.04+3.66vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.06vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.14vs Predicted
-
10Washington College0.19+0.50vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-0.67+1.57vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy1.37-5.20vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.73-4.21vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.72-5.99vs Predicted
-
15American University-0.91-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.44George Washington University1.8210.9%1st Place
-
3.82Georgetown University2.4219.8%1st Place
-
9.11Hampton University0.583.3%1st Place
-
5.23U. S. Naval Academy1.8912.3%1st Place
-
6.09Old Dominion University1.598.6%1st Place
-
5.06Georgetown University1.9712.1%1st Place
-
10.66Virginia Tech0.042.4%1st Place
-
5.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.628.5%1st Place
-
9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
-
10.5Washington College0.192.4%1st Place
-
12.57William and Mary-0.670.8%1st Place
-
6.8U. S. Naval Academy1.376.2%1st Place
-
8.79Christopher Newport University0.734.2%1st Place
-
8.01Hampton University0.725.1%1st Place
-
12.83American University-0.910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 19.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Cooper Walshe | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 8.9% |
| Felix Cutler | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 32.1% |
| Ryan Wahba | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Anika Liner | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.