← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.42+2.86vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University0.58+7.28vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.82+2.47vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.01vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.89+0.22vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.37+0.82vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University1.97-2.98vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University0.72-1.01vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.59-3.87vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-0.67+1.43vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.73-3.25vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech0.04-2.20vs Predicted
-
14American University-0.91-1.04vs Predicted
-
15Washington College0.19-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.86Georgetown University2.4219.6%1st Place
-
9.28Hampton University0.583.4%1st Place
-
5.47George Washington University1.8210.8%1st Place
-
6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.627.8%1st Place
-
5.22U. S. Naval Academy1.8910.9%1st Place
-
6.82U. S. Naval Academy1.376.9%1st Place
-
8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.9%1st Place
-
5.02Georgetown University1.9712.5%1st Place
-
7.99Hampton University0.725.2%1st Place
-
6.13Old Dominion University1.599.1%1st Place
-
12.43William and Mary-0.671.1%1st Place
-
8.75Christopher Newport University0.733.8%1st Place
-
10.8Virginia Tech0.042.2%1st Place
-
12.96American University-0.910.8%1st Place
-
10.35Washington College0.192.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 19.6% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Felix Cutler | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Walshe | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 30.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Brock Diaz | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 10.7% |
| Anika Liner | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 21.9% | 41.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.