← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.58+8.37vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy1.89+3.20vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.42+0.92vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.97+0.99vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.82+0.39vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University0.72+2.00vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.97vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.59-1.99vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.37-2.22vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.73-1.22vs Predicted
-
11Virginia Tech0.04-0.30vs Predicted
-
12Washington College0.19-1.62vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.95vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary-0.67-1.61vs Predicted
-
15American University-0.91-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.37Hampton University0.583.2%1st Place
-
5.2U. S. Naval Academy1.8910.9%1st Place
-
3.92Georgetown University2.4220.1%1st Place
-
4.99Georgetown University1.9712.2%1st Place
-
5.39George Washington University1.8210.5%1st Place
-
8.0Hampton University0.725.1%1st Place
-
6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.629.4%1st Place
-
6.01Old Dominion University1.599.3%1st Place
-
6.78U. S. Naval Academy1.376.8%1st Place
-
8.78Christopher Newport University0.733.5%1st Place
-
10.7Virginia Tech0.041.5%1st Place
-
10.38Washington College0.192.1%1st Place
-
9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.7%1st Place
-
12.39William and Mary-0.671.1%1st Place
-
13.02American University-0.910.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Cooper Walshe | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 20.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Felix Cutler | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Wahba | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 10.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 22.8% | 29.9% |
| Anika Liner | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 20.6% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.