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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.49+7.08vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.02+7.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.56vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.18vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67-0.49vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69+1.74vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.46+1.37vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.89-1.08vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.15+3.75vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.47-1.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-1.65vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.47-0.37vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.47+1.21vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.24-4.77vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.88-0.03vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-11.19vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook0.05-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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3.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.2%1st Place
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4.51George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.74Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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8.37Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.92SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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12.75Queen's University0.150.0%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.63Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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14.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.23Cornell University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.97Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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4.81Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.93SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Garth | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Bigelow | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 21.1% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 16.2% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Collin Clark | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Nothacker | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Alp | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 9.1% |
| Madison Oleson | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Duggan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Heather Grosso | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 24.7% | 26.1% |
| Alex Gatto | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 44.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 12.5% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.