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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.37+5.77vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+5.88vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.16vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+2.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.97+0.04vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.42-2.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.89vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82-2.43vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.03vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.58-0.67vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.19-0.57vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.04-1.15vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-4.22vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.67-1.76vs Predicted
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15American University-0.91-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy1.377.9%1st Place
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7.88Hampton University0.724.8%1st Place
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.628.6%1st Place
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6.08Old Dominion University1.599.2%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University1.9711.7%1st Place
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3.86Georgetown University2.4220.2%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Naval Academy1.8911.3%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University1.8210.8%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.5%1st Place
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9.33Hampton University0.583.2%1st Place
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10.43Washington College0.191.8%1st Place
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10.85Virginia Tech0.041.8%1st Place
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8.78Christopher Newport University0.733.4%1st Place
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12.24William and Mary-0.671.1%1st Place
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12.86American University-0.910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Wahba | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Felix Cutler | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 20.2% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 10.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 22.7% | 29.6% |
| Anika Liner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.