← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+3.93vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.42+1.87vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.97+2.04vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.58+5.29vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+1.04vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.37+0.73vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.44-0.66vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.59-1.94vs Predicted
-
9Washington College0.19+1.36vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University0.72-2.07vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.73-2.37vs Predicted
-
12William and Mary-0.67+0.36vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.02vs Predicted
-
14Virginia Tech0.04-3.31vs Predicted
-
15American University-0.91-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.93U. S. Naval Academy1.8915.0%1st Place
-
3.87Georgetown University2.4220.4%1st Place
-
5.04Georgetown University1.9711.1%1st Place
-
9.29Hampton University0.582.9%1st Place
-
6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.629.4%1st Place
-
6.73U. S. Naval Academy1.376.9%1st Place
-
6.34George Washington University1.448.5%1st Place
-
6.06Old Dominion University1.598.2%1st Place
-
10.36Washington College0.191.8%1st Place
-
7.93Hampton University0.724.3%1st Place
-
8.63Christopher Newport University0.734.6%1st Place
-
12.36William and Mary-0.670.9%1st Place
-
8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.8%1st Place
-
10.69Virginia Tech0.042.1%1st Place
-
12.75American University-0.911.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper Walshe | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Enzo Menditto | 20.4% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jeffrey Petersen | 11.1% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Tyler Brown | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
Felix Cutler | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Ryan Wahba | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Diogo Silva | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
Stefano Palamara | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Joshua Bendura | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
Julia Hudson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 31.3% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
Brock Diaz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 8.9% |
Anika Liner | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.