Race 1A

mrs-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Deirdre Lambert 14.3% 13.5% 13.6% 10.8% 10.4% 7.9% 6.7% 5.4% 5.2% 3.4% 4.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
Marlena Fauer 14.9% 13.3% 10.0% 10.4% 9.0% 8.7% 6.1% 6.7% 5.1% 5.5% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.4%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 5.0% 5.1% 3.7% 5.2% 6.2% 5.7% 6.6% 6.4% 6.6% 7.0% 7.6% 7.2% 9.1% 6.1% 7.3% 5.2%
Devon Rohde 2.3% 3.1% 4.9% 4.0% 4.4% 5.2% 4.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.6% 8.3% 8.5% 10.8% 16.2%
Annie Schmidt 4.9% 4.3% 4.4% 5.4% 5.1% 7.3% 5.9% 6.6% 6.0% 7.1% 5.8% 7.4% 7.6% 7.6% 8.8% 5.8%
Caitlin Watson 3.5% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.0% 4.6% 6.9% 5.8% 5.8% 6.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.0% 8.2% 10.3% 10.7%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.0% 5.6% 5.1% 5.4% 4.6% 5.4% 6.0% 5.4% 6.6% 8.3% 6.4% 6.4% 7.9% 7.8% 7.3% 6.8%
Hanna Vincent 9.7% 11.1% 9.2% 8.5% 8.1% 8.3% 6.7% 8.0% 9.0% 5.4% 4.2% 4.4% 2.9% 1.9% 1.5% 1.1%
Elise Gehling 2.8% 4.2% 3.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.9% 5.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 8.1% 6.7% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 14.9%
Kate Levinson 3.2% 3.2% 4.5% 2.7% 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.8% 8.8% 6.3% 11.0% 13.1% 13.9%
Erin Mullins 7.8% 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 6.4% 7.0% 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.6% 7.4% 6.4% 6.1% 5.2% 3.8% 2.5%
Liz Dubovik 5.0% 4.3% 5.7% 5.5% 6.6% 5.6% 8.4% 5.1% 4.5% 6.7% 6.6% 7.1% 6.3% 7.1% 8.1% 7.4%
Dominique Wright 4.6% 6.5% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 6.1% 7.0% 7.5% 6.3% 8.1% 6.0% 5.4% 6.3% 5.7% 4.1%
Sky Adams 5.8% 4.4% 6.2% 5.7% 5.9% 6.8% 8.1% 5.2% 7.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 6.4% 5.3% 5.2%
Megan Yeigh 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.4% 6.0% 7.6% 6.4% 8.1% 7.1% 6.3% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 4.1% 2.3%
Carolyn Naughton 5.3% 6.3% 5.7% 7.1% 6.9% 6.5% 7.0% 8.5% 7.4% 6.9% 6.1% 6.7% 6.7% 5.6% 4.1% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.