Race 2A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Deirdre Lambert 14.2% 14.3% 12.7% 11.0% 9.9% 8.5% 6.0% 5.7% 5.3% 4.6% 2.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3%
Carolyn Naughton 6.0% 6.7% 7.7% 6.6% 6.1% 6.8% 6.5% 7.1% 7.5% 5.3% 7.0% 5.4% 7.0% 5.9% 4.3% 4.1%
Sky Adams 5.8% 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 6.6% 6.8% 6.5% 6.3% 5.2% 8.6% 6.5% 8.6% 7.9% 5.7% 6.3% 4.3%
Marlena Fauer 12.2% 12.1% 11.8% 10.8% 9.0% 9.5% 6.8% 5.8% 5.8% 4.8% 4.2% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 4.4% 4.8% 5.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.4% 6.3% 7.3% 6.5% 5.6% 8.0% 6.4% 7.3% 7.3% 8.8% 5.2%
Elise Gehling 3.2% 2.1% 3.9% 3.2% 4.6% 6.1% 5.0% 5.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.1% 6.4% 6.8% 8.5% 11.5% 16.4%
Dominique Wright 6.0% 6.5% 5.4% 5.7% 5.7% 6.9% 5.8% 7.2% 7.2% 6.2% 6.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.6% 5.8% 4.3%
Hanna Vincent 10.3% 11.1% 7.8% 9.8% 9.1% 6.5% 8.3% 7.9% 6.8% 6.8% 4.0% 3.7% 3.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.8%
Annie Schmidt 4.4% 5.3% 5.2% 4.6% 5.8% 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 5.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.1% 7.2% 5.2% 8.0% 6.9%
Kate Levinson 3.0% 3.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.9% 3.1% 4.9% 4.5% 4.3% 5.3% 8.0% 7.1% 9.3% 10.9% 10.1% 15.5%
Erin Mullins 8.2% 6.3% 5.5% 6.9% 7.7% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% 8.2% 7.1% 7.3% 6.4% 6.4% 4.9% 3.7% 2.8%
Liz Dubovik 5.3% 4.6% 4.6% 6.4% 6.3% 5.9% 7.9% 5.7% 4.4% 6.2% 6.1% 7.4% 6.7% 7.4% 8.5% 6.6%
Megan Yeigh 5.1% 6.6% 8.1% 6.8% 7.0% 6.4% 7.0% 6.6% 7.6% 7.2% 6.7% 5.8% 5.1% 6.2% 4.8% 3.0%
Caitlin Watson 4.1% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 4.6% 5.2% 5.6% 5.1% 7.5% 6.1% 6.6% 7.5% 7.7% 8.6% 8.6% 9.5%
Devon Rohde 3.7% 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 4.4% 5.3% 6.1% 5.8% 5.6% 8.0% 7.4% 10.6% 10.9% 13.6%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.1% 5.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 5.2% 6.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.3% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.