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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+2.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.37+4.81vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.89+0.97vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72+2.77vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.19+4.39vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59-0.84vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.81vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73-0.29vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.44-3.59vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.97-6.08vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.58-2.82vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.04-2.18vs Predicted
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14American University-0.91-1.14vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.67-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Georgetown University2.4220.3%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy1.377.4%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.628.6%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy1.8914.7%1st Place
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7.77Hampton University0.724.9%1st Place
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10.39Washington College0.191.8%1st Place
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6.16Old Dominion University1.597.8%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.6%1st Place
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8.71Christopher Newport University0.733.9%1st Place
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6.41George Washington University1.447.2%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University1.9713.3%1st Place
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9.18Hampton University0.582.9%1st Place
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10.82Virginia Tech0.041.7%1st Place
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12.86American University-0.910.5%1st Place
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12.38William and Mary-0.671.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 20.3% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Felix Cutler | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 14.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 8.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 9.8% |
| Anika Liner | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 41.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 21.7% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.