Race 3A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mary Kate Mezzetti 4.3% 4.9% 7.7% 5.3% 4.6% 7.8% 6.2% 6.6% 4.8% 6.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.1% 6.1% 7.2% 6.0%
Devon Rohde 2.9% 4.2% 4.7% 4.0% 5.1% 4.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.4% 5.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.1% 9.8% 9.9% 13.6%
Sky Adams 5.7% 5.6% 4.8% 6.2% 5.3% 6.0% 7.5% 7.0% 6.1% 7.4% 6.1% 7.3% 7.8% 6.6% 5.9% 4.7%
Caitlin Watson 3.4% 3.7% 4.7% 4.4% 5.9% 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.8% 6.7% 5.2% 7.7% 7.6% 7.8% 11.7% 11.0%
Marlena Fauer 13.0% 13.1% 11.3% 11.2% 9.2% 7.3% 7.1% 7.5% 5.5% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.1% 4.3% 5.9% 5.1% 6.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 7.5% 5.7% 6.4% 7.1% 6.5% 6.7% 8.4% 6.9%
Deirdre Lambert 15.4% 11.5% 12.8% 11.0% 8.7% 7.4% 6.9% 6.9% 5.2% 4.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Annie Schmidt 5.4% 5.1% 4.3% 5.7% 5.8% 5.0% 6.5% 5.9% 7.6% 6.1% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4%
Dominique Wright 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.0% 5.4% 7.5% 6.9% 6.5% 8.2% 5.7% 7.3% 6.6% 6.1% 6.7% 4.1% 5.0%
Megan Yeigh 6.2% 6.5% 6.4% 5.2% 7.0% 6.3% 6.2% 7.3% 7.1% 9.2% 7.9% 7.9% 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 3.2%
Hanna Vincent 9.9% 9.9% 9.8% 8.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.2% 6.3% 6.7% 6.9% 4.9% 3.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Erin Mullins 7.4% 6.3% 6.4% 7.7% 8.2% 6.9% 6.7% 5.6% 6.3% 6.5% 6.2% 5.4% 7.6% 5.1% 3.6% 4.1%
Carolyn Naughton 5.7% 6.7% 6.5% 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 6.4% 7.8% 6.6% 8.0% 6.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.0% 3.8% 3.5%
Elise Gehling 3.6% 3.6% 2.4% 3.6% 3.5% 6.1% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 5.0% 7.0% 5.6% 7.4% 10.4% 11.0% 13.6%
Liz Dubovik 4.9% 4.8% 4.0% 4.8% 7.3% 4.9% 6.4% 6.7% 5.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.7% 7.6% 7.7% 5.3%
Kate Levinson 2.6% 3.8% 1.8% 4.5% 3.9% 4.3% 4.6% 4.0% 5.4% 5.5% 7.3% 7.8% 8.5% 8.9% 11.2% 15.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.