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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+2.72vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+4.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.16vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.58+4.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.37+0.92vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.97-1.85vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.04+2.67vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.19+1.40vs Predicted
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10American University-0.91+2.93vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-5.54vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.93vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-4.27vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.67-1.60vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.72-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Georgetown University2.4221.8%1st Place
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6.12Old Dominion University1.597.8%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.629.2%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy1.8911.9%1st Place
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9.33Hampton University0.583.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy1.376.8%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University1.9711.2%1st Place
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10.67Virginia Tech0.042.1%1st Place
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10.4Washington College0.191.8%1st Place
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12.93American University-0.910.7%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University1.8210.2%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.7%1st Place
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8.73Christopher Newport University0.734.1%1st Place
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12.4William and Mary-0.670.9%1st Place
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7.82Hampton University0.725.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 21.8% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Felix Cutler | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Walshe | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Wahba | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brock Diaz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 10.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 42.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 30.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.