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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+4.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+4.11vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.42+0.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.37+2.76vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+4.11vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.58+3.25vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73+1.79vs Predicted
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8American University-0.91+5.04vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59-2.88vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.97-4.91vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-5.53vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.19-1.65vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.04-2.30vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.67-1.62vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.72-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07U. S. Naval Academy1.8912.6%1st Place
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6.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.629.2%1st Place
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3.86Georgetown University2.4218.9%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy1.377.4%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.9%1st Place
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9.25Hampton University0.583.0%1st Place
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8.79Christopher Newport University0.734.2%1st Place
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13.04American University-0.910.9%1st Place
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6.12Old Dominion University1.598.3%1st Place
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5.09Georgetown University1.9712.0%1st Place
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5.47George Washington University1.8211.2%1st Place
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10.35Washington College0.191.8%1st Place
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10.7Virginia Tech0.041.8%1st Place
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12.38William and Mary-0.671.1%1st Place
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7.9Hampton University0.725.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 18.9% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Anika Liner | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 20.5% | 42.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 9.9% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 30.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.