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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+6.06vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+3.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+3.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+4.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.41vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+2.43vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75-0.03vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-0.09vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.97-2.81vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71-2.81vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-4.04vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-5.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-6.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.06Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.72Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.96Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.3University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.6% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Sky Adams | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 17.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.