Race 5A

mrs-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sky Adams 4.2% 6.2% 7.0% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 5.4% 6.2% 7.6% 5.6% 6.5% 6.0% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 4.2%
Marlena Fauer 14.3% 12.4% 12.4% 10.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.0% 7.0% 5.0% 4.3% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Erin Mullins 6.9% 6.3% 6.5% 7.5% 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 7.3% 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 6.6% 5.0% 3.6% 3.8% 3.0%
Carolyn Naughton 5.4% 7.4% 6.6% 5.9% 6.5% 6.6% 5.0% 7.3% 6.1% 7.8% 7.2% 5.5% 7.3% 6.4% 4.7% 4.3%
Liz Dubovik 4.5% 4.6% 4.4% 6.8% 6.3% 5.2% 5.9% 6.7% 7.0% 6.4% 6.9% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 8.5% 5.3%
Elise Gehling 2.7% 3.1% 2.9% 4.3% 4.4% 3.9% 6.4% 5.4% 6.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.3% 10.4% 16.2%
Kate Levinson 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 5.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.7% 3.7% 5.2% 4.4% 8.9% 8.3% 8.0% 12.7% 17.3%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 5.4% 4.7% 6.2% 5.8% 5.9% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 8.4% 7.9% 7.3% 5.9% 7.5% 5.7%
Annie Schmidt 5.1% 4.4% 5.2% 5.0% 5.4% 5.9% 7.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.2% 5.9% 7.5% 7.3% 6.7% 7.6%
Megan Yeigh 6.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.4% 5.5% 7.5% 7.2% 6.9% 7.6% 9.0% 6.5% 6.7% 5.7% 4.9% 4.6% 3.0%
Dominique Wright 6.2% 5.7% 5.2% 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 5.0% 5.8% 8.1% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 6.0% 6.5% 5.6% 4.6%
Deirdre Lambert 15.1% 13.5% 12.7% 9.6% 8.3% 9.0% 6.8% 6.4% 5.7% 4.2% 2.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Devon Rohde 2.6% 3.7% 3.7% 4.1% 5.2% 3.9% 5.4% 5.2% 4.6% 6.2% 6.5% 8.7% 7.7% 9.6% 9.9% 13.0%
Hanna Vincent 10.2% 9.9% 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 8.7% 8.2% 6.8% 6.7% 5.4% 4.1% 4.1% 2.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Caitlin Watson 3.7% 4.1% 4.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.6% 6.6% 6.1% 5.9% 5.2% 7.7% 6.2% 7.6% 10.3% 10.9% 8.3%
Elizabeth Glivinski 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 6.7% 5.9% 5.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 8.7% 7.8% 5.5% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.