Race 11B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Enzo Menditto 19.8% 16.9% 15.0% 12.4% 10.7% 8.8% 6.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Felix Cutler 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 9.4% 9.0% 9.5% 9.0% 10.2% 9.2% 5.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Ryan Wahba 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 9.3% 8.9% 9.6% 8.8% 7.4% 6.2% 2.1% 0.8%
Tyler Wood 10.3% 10.8% 11.2% 12.8% 10.1% 10.5% 9.2% 8.0% 6.5% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 13.1% 11.3% 11.6% 11.7% 11.2% 9.7% 8.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Tyler Brown 3.7% 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 7.8% 8.0% 10.3% 11.3% 11.1% 12.6% 7.1%
Diogo Silva 9.0% 10.0% 8.8% 8.8% 10.2% 8.4% 9.4% 9.2% 8.5% 7.4% 5.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Joseph Bonacci 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 4.3% 3.9% 4.0% 5.6% 6.2% 8.8% 11.7% 15.3% 16.9% 15.2%
Jeffrey Petersen 13.0% 12.7% 11.9% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 8.8% 6.5% 6.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 3.9% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 9.0% 10.6% 11.8% 12.3% 11.3% 5.2%
Brock Diaz 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 2.2% 3.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.3% 7.8% 11.0% 14.2% 19.7% 17.7%
Julia Hudson 1.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 4.9% 6.6% 10.6% 16.4% 46.5%
Joshua Bendura 3.8% 4.7% 4.1% 3.5% 5.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.1% 9.2% 10.3% 11.1% 11.7% 10.9% 4.5%
Stefano Palamara 4.0% 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.2% 6.8% 8.7% 10.0% 9.8% 9.9% 10.7% 7.5% 5.6% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.