← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.83+4.03vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+3.37vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.99+5.07vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.61vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.30+5.71vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.53+3.86vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.97+1.28vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.71+1.03vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.82-0.35vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.75-0.87vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College3.06-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.34-1.52vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.90-4.65vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.74-5.06vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.74-5.88vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.03Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
5.37Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.07University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.71Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
9.86Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
8.28Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.03Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.65Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.13Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.9Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.48Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.35University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.94Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
9.12Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.4% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 16.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.