Race 12B

riley-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Enzo Menditto 18.4% 17.4% 15.7% 13.2% 10.8% 8.8% 6.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Diogo Silva 9.8% 9.3% 8.3% 9.5% 9.3% 8.9% 9.7% 8.9% 8.7% 6.8% 5.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Felix Cutler 9.2% 8.9% 9.9% 8.9% 9.6% 10.2% 8.6% 8.9% 8.4% 6.6% 5.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.6%
Tyler Wood 11.2% 9.9% 11.2% 10.0% 10.4% 11.2% 9.8% 8.6% 6.8% 5.1% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Tyler Brown 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 10.2% 12.2% 13.1% 11.6% 6.0%
Cooper Walshe 11.6% 12.3% 11.9% 11.5% 12.0% 9.8% 9.0% 7.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 8.3% 11.5% 11.5% 11.4% 11.2% 4.8%
Cho-Cho Williams 2.8% 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 8.9% 9.3% 11.0% 10.8% 12.3% 10.0% 5.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 1.9% 3.7% 3.3% 5.5% 5.5% 6.0% 8.0% 11.5% 15.0% 16.5% 15.3%
Brock Diaz 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 3.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 10.8% 13.6% 19.1% 18.1%
Jeffrey Petersen 13.2% 12.4% 11.8% 12.1% 10.1% 9.6% 8.9% 7.6% 6.2% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Wahba 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 10.4% 10.2% 9.4% 9.0% 6.6% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1%
Julia Hudson 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 4.8% 6.6% 8.7% 17.5% 46.5%
Stefano Palamara 4.7% 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 6.7% 7.5% 6.5% 7.8% 10.3% 10.6% 10.2% 8.9% 6.9% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.