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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.05+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.22+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.95-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.34-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Western Washington University2.050.4%1st Place
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2.69University of Oregon1.220.2%1st Place
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2.03University of Washington1.950.3%1st Place
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3.38University of Puget Sound0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Stephens | 41.3% | 34.4% | 16.8% | 7.5% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 17.0% | 20.7% | 38.9% | 23.4% |
| Katie Schmidt | 34.6% | 35.9% | 21.8% | 7.7% |
| Mary (Liza) Holtz | 7.1% | 9.0% | 22.5% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.