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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-0.93+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+0.93vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.20+0.04vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86-0.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.23vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.21-3.00vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.83-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Drexel University-0.939.8%1st Place
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2.93University of Maryland-0.0822.8%1st Place
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3.04Virginia Tech-0.2021.9%1st Place
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3.65American University-0.8614.8%1st Place
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4.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.8%1st Place
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3.0William and Mary-0.2122.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Delaware-2.831.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Adams | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 23.5% | 9.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 22.8% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 21.9% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Arey | 14.8% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 2.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 30.3% | 13.5% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 22.1% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.