Race 13B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Diogo Silva 9.2% 9.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 10.6% 9.7% 7.6% 8.1% 6.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
Felix Cutler 8.6% 9.7% 9.0% 10.7% 8.9% 8.8% 9.8% 9.9% 8.7% 5.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Tyler Wood 10.8% 10.1% 10.8% 10.5% 11.2% 10.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 5.5% 3.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Tyler Brown 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.5% 7.9% 8.6% 9.8% 12.2% 12.0% 12.2% 7.2%
Enzo Menditto 19.8% 17.1% 14.6% 13.0% 10.0% 8.2% 6.7% 4.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Cooper Walshe 12.3% 11.2% 13.2% 11.5% 10.1% 8.2% 9.6% 7.3% 6.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 6.6% 8.5% 11.1% 14.3% 19.9% 14.5%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.6% 4.8% 4.0% 4.2% 5.7% 6.6% 6.0% 8.1% 8.8% 10.8% 10.2% 11.3% 10.8% 5.1%
Jeffrey Petersen 13.1% 12.8% 11.2% 11.3% 10.7% 10.5% 8.6% 7.5% 5.7% 4.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan Wahba 7.1% 6.6% 8.3% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 8.2% 9.5% 8.2% 9.4% 7.0% 6.1% 2.8% 0.7%
Joshua Bendura 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 5.7% 7.3% 8.1% 8.6% 9.8% 11.8% 11.2% 9.4% 4.3%
Stefano Palamara 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 6.0% 8.0% 8.8% 10.2% 10.8% 9.5% 9.4% 7.3% 5.8% 2.1%
Brock Diaz 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 4.3% 6.5% 8.0% 10.5% 16.0% 18.6% 17.8%
Julia Hudson 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 5.1% 7.1% 9.3% 16.1% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.