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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+7.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.12vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+6.70vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+3.21vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+2.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30+2.59vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75-0.11vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-0.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-3.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-5.10vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.97-6.73vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.61Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.12Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.7Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.44Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.21Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.16Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.93Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.9Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.5% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.