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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.01vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+6.94vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+6.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+3.79vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-0.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-1.46vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.97-2.86vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.75-2.98vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-5.21vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-3.59vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-4.16vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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8.94Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.48Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.54University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.09Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 14.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.