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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.45+0.90vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.79-0.14vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.52vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93U. S. Naval Academy2.0423.6%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University2.2029.8%1st Place
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3.9University of Pennsylvania1.4512.8%1st Place
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4.15George Washington University1.3211.7%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island0.796.6%1st Place
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4.48Old Dominion University0.959.4%1st Place
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5.06Christopher Newport University0.656.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.6% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 29.8% | 24.9% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 8.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 26.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 18.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.