Race 9A

mrs-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Marlena Fauer 13.9% 12.4% 11.1% 11.4% 11.3% 7.6% 6.5% 4.9% 6.9% 3.9% 3.2% 3.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.5%
Deirdre Lambert 15.1% 14.4% 11.5% 11.2% 8.3% 8.0% 6.8% 6.0% 5.6% 4.4% 3.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 6.2% 6.5% 4.8% 6.9% 7.6% 6.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.4% 6.0% 6.7% 4.8% 4.2% 3.2%
Liz Dubovik 3.6% 5.3% 5.9% 5.2% 5.0% 6.7% 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 7.6% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 6.7%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 4.8% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 6.3% 5.3% 6.4% 7.7% 6.7% 7.4% 6.3% 8.9% 6.4%
Hanna Vincent 8.6% 10.3% 10.6% 8.0% 8.0% 8.9% 7.5% 6.8% 6.4% 4.8% 4.7% 5.1% 3.9% 2.9% 2.8% 0.7%
Carolyn Naughton 6.4% 6.6% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 5.4% 6.7% 8.1% 6.3% 6.9% 5.7% 7.3% 6.4% 6.6% 4.9% 4.1%
Dominique Wright 5.4% 6.9% 6.7% 6.2% 6.3% 6.0% 7.5% 6.8% 6.6% 5.6% 7.7% 6.8% 6.8% 5.5% 5.4% 3.8%
Sky Adams 5.1% 5.7% 6.0% 4.8% 7.0% 6.9% 5.4% 7.0% 6.5% 7.6% 6.5% 8.2% 6.4% 5.3% 5.3% 6.3%
Caitlin Watson 3.9% 4.2% 4.8% 3.5% 3.9% 5.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 7.4% 6.9% 7.3% 8.8% 10.1% 8.1% 9.6%
Erin Mullins 7.3% 6.3% 6.5% 7.4% 6.5% 6.3% 6.3% 7.6% 7.0% 7.9% 7.2% 5.5% 5.7% 5.6% 4.3% 2.6%
Annie Schmidt 4.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 6.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 5.5% 5.3% 7.0% 7.8% 6.9% 8.3% 8.2%
Elise Gehling 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 4.7% 4.2% 3.8% 6.1% 4.1% 5.5% 6.4% 6.3% 6.7% 8.5% 9.6% 10.0% 14.8%
Kate Levinson 3.6% 2.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.0% 5.3% 4.7% 5.2% 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 9.5% 10.2% 16.2%
Lauren Cefali 4.0% 3.8% 3.1% 4.2% 4.5% 4.7% 6.4% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 9.6% 10.6% 10.5%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.6% 3.9% 5.3% 5.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 7.3% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 7.1% 7.8% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.