← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.32+3.11vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.94vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.20-0.37vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University0.95+0.56vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.79-0.11vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.23vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11George Washington University1.3211.2%1st Place
-
2.94U. S. Naval Academy2.0424.6%1st Place
-
2.63Georgetown University2.2028.3%1st Place
-
4.56Old Dominion University0.959.5%1st Place
-
4.89University of Rhode Island0.796.8%1st Place
-
3.77University of Pennsylvania1.4513.8%1st Place
-
5.11Christopher Newport University0.655.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 12.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.6% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.3% | 26.2% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 9.5% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 19.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 25.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 8.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.