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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.90vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.32+2.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20-0.41vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.79-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.13vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9U. S. Naval Academy2.0424.2%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University1.3211.5%1st Place
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2.59Georgetown University2.2030.7%1st Place
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4.57Old Dominion University0.957.8%1st Place
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4.87University of Rhode Island0.797.4%1st Place
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3.87University of Pennsylvania1.4513.0%1st Place
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5.09Christopher Newport University0.655.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.2% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 30.7% | 24.8% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 25.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 9.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.