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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+7.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+6.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+7.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+2.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+2.23vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-0.96vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-4.89vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.48vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-2.13vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-3.84vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-6.27vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-4.10vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.11Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.16Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.