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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.32+3.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45-0.24vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-2.36vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.47vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16George Washington University1.3211.4%1st Place
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2.94U. S. Naval Academy2.0424.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Rhode Island0.797.4%1st Place
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3.76University of Pennsylvania1.4514.8%1st Place
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2.64Georgetown University2.2028.1%1st Place
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4.53Old Dominion University0.957.7%1st Place
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5.09Christopher Newport University0.656.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 12.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.1% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 26.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 14.8% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 8.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.1% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 17.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.