Race 11A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Deirdre Lambert 16.0% 13.2% 11.4% 12.1% 9.2% 8.4% 6.6% 4.9% 4.9% 4.3% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 6.6% 7.9% 7.8% 7.3% 6.8% 5.9% 6.7% 8.1% 6.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.4% 3.9% 4.9% 2.4%
Marlena Fauer 13.6% 11.5% 10.0% 11.0% 10.6% 8.0% 9.1% 7.1% 5.6% 3.7% 3.3% 2.1% 2.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Annie Schmidt 3.5% 5.1% 5.4% 6.0% 6.1% 4.6% 4.8% 5.6% 5.3% 7.3% 7.6% 6.6% 7.7% 8.9% 7.6% 7.9%
Hanna Vincent 8.7% 9.5% 9.6% 8.7% 8.9% 8.4% 7.3% 7.7% 6.3% 5.8% 5.6% 4.7% 3.9% 2.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Dominique Wright 5.3% 3.9% 7.8% 6.2% 6.1% 7.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.9% 5.8% 5.9% 7.5% 7.0% 5.8% 5.6% 5.2%
Carolyn Naughton 7.3% 5.9% 6.7% 5.9% 4.7% 7.4% 6.2% 7.0% 6.9% 6.4% 5.5% 7.7% 7.4% 6.6% 5.0% 3.4%
Sky Adams 5.0% 6.3% 6.1% 6.0% 6.4% 5.2% 6.3% 6.2% 7.5% 5.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.7% 6.0% 5.6% 5.0%
Elise Gehling 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 2.8% 4.3% 3.7% 4.9% 5.9% 5.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 10.1% 9.6% 14.8%
Megan Yeigh 6.2% 6.5% 5.9% 5.6% 5.7% 7.2% 6.2% 8.3% 7.4% 8.4% 7.4% 7.7% 5.7% 4.3% 4.4% 3.1%
Kate Levinson 3.2% 4.0% 2.7% 4.1% 4.6% 4.1% 3.7% 4.9% 4.0% 6.3% 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 9.8% 12.5% 16.5%
Lauren Cefali 4.2% 3.5% 3.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 4.9% 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 8.6% 9.8% 13.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 3.6% 5.8% 6.0% 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 7.2% 5.6% 7.1% 6.9% 7.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.0% 7.1% 6.7%
Liz Dubovik 5.1% 4.5% 5.5% 5.8% 5.3% 6.3% 7.2% 5.9% 7.7% 7.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.5% 5.1% 6.6%
Caitlin Watson 3.7% 4.2% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 5.8% 5.1% 4.9% 6.5% 7.6% 6.8% 7.9% 8.9% 12.5% 8.1%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 5.4% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 8.2% 7.2% 7.1% 6.4% 8.5% 6.4% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.