Race 12A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Marlena Fauer 13.4% 12.8% 12.3% 10.8% 10.4% 7.9% 6.1% 7.5% 4.9% 4.2% 3.1% 2.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.5%
Sky Adams 4.4% 7.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.0% 6.4% 6.7% 6.0% 6.8% 7.6% 5.8% 6.6% 5.1% 7.9% 6.5% 5.4%
Liz Dubovik 5.3% 4.4% 4.2% 6.4% 4.6% 6.8% 6.5% 6.0% 6.9% 7.0% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5%
Annie Schmidt 3.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.0% 5.4% 6.0% 5.6% 5.7% 6.4% 6.2% 7.2% 7.6% 6.7% 8.2% 8.4% 7.6%
Megan Yeigh 6.2% 5.5% 7.0% 5.5% 6.7% 7.8% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 5.8% 7.6% 5.6% 7.0% 5.9% 4.9% 3.2%
Hanna Vincent 8.2% 9.7% 10.4% 9.6% 8.5% 8.1% 7.9% 6.8% 5.8% 5.4% 5.2% 4.5% 3.5% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Dominique Wright 5.9% 6.1% 5.9% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.9% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 6.1% 4.7%
Deirdre Lambert 16.6% 13.2% 11.7% 10.9% 8.5% 8.1% 8.2% 6.3% 4.6% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 5.9% 4.3% 5.7% 4.9% 7.8% 6.9% 8.1% 8.7% 10.4% 15.0%
Caitlin Watson 3.8% 3.8% 4.9% 3.8% 4.3% 3.9% 4.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 8.6% 9.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.6%
Erin Mullins 8.1% 6.0% 6.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.5% 5.7% 6.8% 8.2% 7.0% 7.9% 4.7% 7.1% 4.7% 4.6% 2.5%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.1% 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 6.4% 6.4% 7.9% 4.4% 6.0% 6.9% 5.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 4.1% 5.2% 5.0% 5.7% 6.9% 5.3% 5.0% 7.4% 6.7% 6.5% 8.1% 7.4% 7.2% 5.3% 7.0% 7.2%
Kate Levinson 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.5% 4.6% 6.1% 6.5% 7.8% 6.2% 9.8% 11.2% 15.3%
Carolyn Naughton 6.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.0% 7.6% 6.6% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 6.6% 6.2% 5.2% 2.9%
Lauren Cefali 3.1% 3.9% 3.4% 5.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.1% 5.9% 6.8% 7.4% 6.1% 8.6% 7.6% 7.2% 9.9% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.