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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.79+3.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.88vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45-0.17vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.88vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.48vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85University of Rhode Island0.797.4%1st Place
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2.88U. S. Naval Academy2.0425.6%1st Place
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2.63Georgetown University2.2028.5%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania1.4513.6%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University1.3210.8%1st Place
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4.52Old Dominion University0.958.7%1st Place
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5.17Christopher Newport University0.655.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Rickard | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 25.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.6% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.5% | 24.8% | 20.5% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 12.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 17.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.