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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.79+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+1.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+0.16vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-2.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.54vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of Rhode Island0.796.6%1st Place
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3.85University of Pennsylvania1.4513.6%1st Place
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2.95U. S. Naval Academy2.0424.3%1st Place
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4.16George Washington University1.3211.1%1st Place
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2.59Georgetown University2.2030.1%1st Place
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4.46Old Dominion University0.958.9%1st Place
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5.14Christopher Newport University0.655.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Rickard | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 25.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 8.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.3% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 12.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 30.1% | 25.1% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 17.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.