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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+6.89vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+6.98vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.55vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90+3.54vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.54vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-1.82vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-0.31vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+1.44vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-0.89vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-2.27vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-2.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-4.05vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-4.92vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-4.16vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.97-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.54University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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5.46Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.18Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.44Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.73Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 14.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% |
| Sky Adams | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 14.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.