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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+5.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.45vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34+4.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+0.89vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97-0.90vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-2.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-2.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.61vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.30-3.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.63Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.36Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.55Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.83Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.16Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.