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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.92vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+1.90vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+0.57vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.94vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92U. S. Naval Academy2.0423.2%1st Place
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2.62Georgetown University2.2029.8%1st Place
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4.9University of Rhode Island0.797.1%1st Place
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4.57Old Dominion University0.958.1%1st Place
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4.06George Washington University1.3212.3%1st Place
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5.11Christopher Newport University0.656.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania1.4513.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.2% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 29.8% | 25.1% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 26.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 19.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.3% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 11.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 32.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.