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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+1.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20-1.27vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95-0.53vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.32-1.88vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of Pennsylvania1.4514.3%1st Place
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2.88U. S. Naval Academy2.0425.9%1st Place
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4.91University of Rhode Island0.796.3%1st Place
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2.73Georgetown University2.2028.1%1st Place
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4.47Old Dominion University0.958.6%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University1.3210.4%1st Place
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5.13Christopher Newport University0.656.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Rice | 14.3% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.9% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 26.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.1% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.