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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+1.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.45+0.84vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+0.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95-0.45vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.79-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Georgetown University2.2029.5%1st Place
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2.9U. S. Naval Academy2.0424.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Pennsylvania1.4512.7%1st Place
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4.04George Washington University1.3212.7%1st Place
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4.55Old Dominion University0.958.8%1st Place
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5.07Christopher Newport University0.655.5%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island0.796.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 29.5% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.1% | 22.5% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 8.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 30.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.