Race 16A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Elizabeth Glivinski 3.6% 6.2% 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% 5.6% 5.6% 5.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.1% 7.7% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 5.6%
Dominique Wright 6.0% 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 5.0% 7.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.3% 7.8% 6.0% 6.1% 6.3% 7.0% 5.3% 4.4%
Devon Rohde 4.1% 3.0% 3.3% 3.0% 4.9% 3.2% 6.3% 4.7% 6.1% 5.7% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 10.7% 11.7% 11.8%
Liz Dubovik 3.4% 5.8% 5.9% 5.0% 6.2% 6.4% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 8.0% 6.7% 8.0% 7.0%
Caitlin Watson 3.8% 4.9% 4.0% 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 6.2% 6.6% 9.1% 7.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.7%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 4.2% 3.6% 5.6% 6.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 6.2%
Deirdre Lambert 15.4% 12.6% 11.3% 11.0% 8.7% 7.3% 7.2% 6.7% 5.5% 5.1% 3.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Erin Mullins 6.9% 8.0% 7.2% 7.0% 6.7% 5.9% 7.9% 7.0% 6.2% 7.4% 8.7% 4.9% 5.0% 4.4% 4.1% 2.7%
Kate Levinson 3.3% 3.4% 2.9% 4.2% 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.3% 6.6% 7.2% 8.7% 9.1% 10.0% 16.1%
Marlena Fauer 13.7% 10.3% 11.1% 10.1% 9.6% 11.6% 8.0% 6.4% 4.6% 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 1.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.3%
Annie Schmidt 5.8% 4.6% 5.1% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.7% 7.4% 7.9% 7.1% 7.9%
Elise Gehling 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% 3.9% 5.3% 6.0% 6.3% 4.8% 5.2% 6.9% 8.1% 8.8% 9.2% 17.2%
Carolyn Naughton 6.0% 6.0% 7.6% 6.6% 5.9% 7.6% 6.2% 5.6% 7.9% 7.7% 7.5% 6.8% 5.2% 4.1% 5.9% 3.4%
Hanna Vincent 9.3% 10.5% 9.2% 8.6% 9.2% 7.7% 8.8% 7.2% 6.5% 6.3% 4.8% 4.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Sky Adams 5.5% 5.3% 4.5% 5.0% 6.7% 7.5% 5.2% 6.5% 5.9% 7.1% 6.5% 7.1% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 3.6%
Megan Yeigh 5.5% 6.0% 6.7% 6.7% 6.9% 6.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.1% 6.7% 7.1% 5.7% 7.1% 5.2% 4.8% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.