← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.20+1.94vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.21+0.96vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.74vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-0.93+0.35vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-0.08-2.03vs Predicted
-
6American University-0.86-2.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-2.83-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94Virginia Tech-0.2024.1%1st Place
-
2.96William and Mary-0.2123.5%1st Place
-
4.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.8%1st Place
-
4.35Drexel University-0.938.1%1st Place
-
2.97University of Maryland-0.0822.8%1st Place
-
3.72American University-0.8613.4%1st Place
-
6.32University of Delaware-2.831.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 24.1% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 23.5% | 19.6% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 31.1% | 13.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 23.6% | 8.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 22.8% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Arey | 13.4% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 4.0% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.