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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.95+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.22+0.68vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.05-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.34-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Washington1.950.4%1st Place
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2.68University of Oregon1.220.2%1st Place
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1.95Western Washington University2.050.4%1st Place
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3.38University of Puget Sound0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Schmidt | 37.8% | 33.8% | 19.8% | 8.6% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 17.1% | 21.4% | 37.9% | 23.6% |
| Katherine Stephens | 38.1% | 35.4% | 19.8% | 6.7% |
| Mary (Liza) Holtz | 7.0% | 9.4% | 22.5% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.