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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+0.78vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.08-0.49vs Predicted
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4Cleveland State University-1.32-0.15vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.34-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Michigan State University0.7448.6%1st Place
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2.97Purdue University-0.4915.5%1st Place
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2.51University of Toledo-0.0824.1%1st Place
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3.85Cleveland State University-1.325.8%1st Place
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3.88Miami University-1.346.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 48.6% | 30.6% | 15.2% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 15.5% | 20.4% | 28.1% | 23.0% | 12.9% |
| Iain McSweeney | 24.1% | 28.2% | 26.3% | 15.8% | 5.6% |
| Joe Kenealy | 5.8% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 30.8% | 38.2% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 25.5% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.