← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.16+5.71vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.09+8.70vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.29+7.11vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.42+2.06vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.18+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.01+1.45vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.56+2.21vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.91-0.32vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.33+0.85vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.05+1.08vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.80vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.81-3.83vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.73-0.95vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.07vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.96-7.35vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida2.51-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.71Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
-
10.7Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
-
10.11Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
-
6.06Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.81Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.45Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.21Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.68Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.85Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
-
11.08Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
5.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.17Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
12.05Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.65University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.35University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% |
| Katja Sertl | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 14.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 27.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Amina Brown | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.