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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+10.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+4.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.29+7.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.33+6.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+4.84vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-0.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.93vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-3.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05+1.04vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-2.79vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.36vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-5.65vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-4.99vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-7.16vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.51-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.85Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.08Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.05Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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5.86Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 25.6% |
| Urska Kosir | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Katja Sertl | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% |
| Merritt Moran | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 16.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 15.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Amina Brown | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.