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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.08+0.52vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.49-0.10vs Predicted
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4Cleveland State University-1.32-0.14vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.34-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Michigan State University0.7447.2%1st Place
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2.52University of Toledo-0.0823.9%1st Place
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2.9Purdue University-0.4915.6%1st Place
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3.86Cleveland State University-1.326.7%1st Place
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3.89Miami University-1.346.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 47.2% | 30.8% | 15.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Iain McSweeney | 23.9% | 28.3% | 25.5% | 16.6% | 5.8% |
| Nok In Chan | 15.6% | 22.2% | 29.2% | 22.6% | 10.3% |
| Joe Kenealy | 6.7% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 27.8% | 40.6% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 28.0% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.