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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.16+5.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.06vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+3.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+3.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.23vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.33+3.97vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+2.19vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+2.71vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29+1.01vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.41vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.51-2.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-7.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-3.15vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.73-2.83vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.01Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.85Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.17Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 14.1% |
| Katja Sertl | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 15.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 27.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.