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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+0.93vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.08+0.79vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.29-0.04vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49-0.74vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-1.32-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Michigan State University0.7444.0%1st Place
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2.79University of Toledo-0.0819.6%1st Place
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2.96Miami University-0.2916.4%1st Place
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3.26Purdue University-0.4913.8%1st Place
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4.05Cleveland State University-1.326.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 44.0% | 30.7% | 15.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Iain McSweeney | 19.6% | 23.4% | 25.9% | 20.3% | 10.8% |
| Margaret Swasey | 16.4% | 22.4% | 23.4% | 24.6% | 13.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.8% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 28.5% | 20.4% |
| Joe Kenealy | 6.2% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.