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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.66vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+4.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.73+7.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+1.45vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.160.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.93vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.560.00vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+0.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.51-2.78vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05-2.06vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.33-4.13vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.29-4.80vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.0Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.2Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 25.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Urska Kosir | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 17.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Katja Sertl | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.