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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+0.93vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.08+0.77vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.29+0.01vs Predicted
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4Cleveland State University-1.32+0.11vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Michigan State University0.7444.0%1st Place
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2.77University of Toledo-0.0820.5%1st Place
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3.01Miami University-0.2916.6%1st Place
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4.11Cleveland State University-1.325.0%1st Place
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3.18Purdue University-0.4913.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 44.0% | 29.6% | 17.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Iain McSweeney | 20.5% | 24.1% | 24.1% | 20.9% | 10.4% |
| Margaret Swasey | 16.6% | 19.4% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 14.7% |
| Joe Kenealy | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 55.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.9% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 28.8% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.