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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.08+0.51vs Predicted
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3Cleveland State University-1.32+0.85vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.34-0.10vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Michigan State University0.7450.0%1st Place
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2.51University of Toledo-0.0822.7%1st Place
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3.85Cleveland State University-1.326.8%1st Place
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3.9Miami University-1.346.0%1st Place
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2.98Purdue University-0.4914.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 50.0% | 30.3% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Iain McSweeney | 22.7% | 29.8% | 26.2% | 16.4% | 5.0% |
| Joe Kenealy | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 28.2% | 40.1% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 6.0% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 27.8% | 42.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 14.4% | 20.6% | 30.2% | 22.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.