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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.16+5.75vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.33+7.86vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+3.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.74vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73+5.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+0.03vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29+1.00vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-3.12vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-0.07vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-2.87vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.90vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-6.37vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-4.06vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.51-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.86Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.03Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 28.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Katja Sertl | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.