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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.08+0.53vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.49-0.11vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.34-0.12vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-1.32-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Michigan State University0.7445.6%1st Place
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2.53University of Toledo-0.0823.9%1st Place
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2.89Purdue University-0.4917.2%1st Place
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3.88Miami University-1.346.5%1st Place
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3.87Cleveland State University-1.326.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 45.6% | 33.2% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Iain McSweeney | 23.9% | 26.1% | 28.5% | 15.8% | 5.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 17.2% | 21.9% | 26.2% | 23.9% | 10.8% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 25.9% | 42.2% |
| Joe Kenealy | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 28.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.