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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.49+2.20vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.74-0.06vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.29+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.08-1.26vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-1.32-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Purdue University-0.4914.8%1st Place
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1.94Michigan State University0.7446.2%1st Place
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3.06Miami University-0.2914.4%1st Place
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2.74University of Toledo-0.0818.8%1st Place
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4.06Cleveland State University-1.325.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 14.8% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 27.1% | 19.6% |
| Luke Koerschner | 46.2% | 27.2% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Margaret Swasey | 14.4% | 20.6% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 15.4% |
| Iain McSweeney | 18.8% | 26.9% | 24.9% | 20.4% | 9.0% |
| Joe Kenealy | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.