Race 7B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Nikole Barnes 13.9% 12.0% 11.1% 11.3% 9.8% 8.2% 7.7% 5.6% 5.6% 5.0% 3.3% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.3% 9.3% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 6.7% 7.4% 7.7% 7.1% 4.8% 7.2% 5.3% 4.8% 3.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Urska Kosir 7.8% 7.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.9% 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1%
Rachel Perry 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 3.1% 4.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.4% 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 8.7% 9.4% 13.9% 17.7%
Johanna Kincaid 7.0% 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 6.4% 7.5% 6.9% 5.8% 6.1% 5.3% 3.7% 1.2%
Hannah Polster 9.2% 10.4% 11.3% 8.6% 8.6% 8.1% 7.6% 7.9% 5.6% 6.1% 4.9% 4.1% 3.3% 2.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Amina Brown 7.9% 6.3% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 6.6% 8.2% 6.8% 6.9% 6.8% 7.0% 6.8% 6.7% 5.6% 3.7% 2.6%
Morgan Russom 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 5.7% 6.4% 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 6.3% 6.7% 8.6% 6.4% 6.6% 7.0% 4.0% 3.5%
Courtney Koos 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 5.0% 5.7% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 8.2% 8.8% 6.3% 6.1%
Rebecca Quirke 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 3.6% 2.5% 2.5% 4.9% 4.7% 5.6% 7.2% 11.1% 16.2% 28.5%
Chloe Lepert 6.7% 6.2% 4.4% 6.5% 6.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 7.8% 7.1% 7.7% 6.5% 6.2% 5.7% 2.8%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.4% 5.7% 6.5% 7.9% 7.5% 7.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.1% 7.1% 7.3% 6.6% 5.9% 6.3% 4.4% 3.3%
Victoria McGruer 1.8% 3.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.7% 2.9% 3.0% 5.1% 5.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.9% 8.9% 8.7% 14.5% 16.1%
Allyson Donahue 9.5% 9.6% 10.4% 8.7% 8.7% 10.5% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 4.2% 5.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Merritt Moran 3.5% 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 3.6% 6.0% 5.8% 4.6% 5.7% 5.3% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 11.1% 11.0% 9.2%
Colleen Hartman 3.7% 4.1% 3.9% 5.0% 4.6% 4.7% 6.2% 6.1% 6.7% 8.3% 5.7% 8.3% 9.4% 9.4% 8.1% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.