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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.29+1.94vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+1.23vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.74-1.05vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.08-1.25vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-1.32-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Miami University-0.2917.4%1st Place
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3.23Purdue University-0.4913.1%1st Place
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1.95Michigan State University0.7444.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Toledo-0.0819.9%1st Place
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4.12Cleveland State University-1.325.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Swasey | 17.4% | 20.2% | 25.9% | 23.5% | 13.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.1% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 28.0% | 19.8% |
| Luke Koerschner | 44.1% | 28.1% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Iain McSweeney | 19.9% | 25.4% | 24.3% | 20.4% | 10.0% |
| Joe Kenealy | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.