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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+8.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.36vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.33vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+8.30vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+6.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.16+1.19vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+0.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-1.96vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05+2.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-2.26vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.59vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-5.20vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-6.06vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.33-4.68vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.51-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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5.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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12.3Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.19Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.32Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.61University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 31.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% |
| Urska Kosir | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.