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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+4.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+4.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16+2.77vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.17vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.33+3.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.86vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-0.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-3.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+0.52vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-5.34vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-4.73vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.73-3.53vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.27University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.47Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 16.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 29.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.