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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.22-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.74vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.59University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.01Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 14.5% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 30.4% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 23.0% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 20.9% | 8.7% |
| Keely Scates | 11.6% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 31.2% | 28.7% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 22.3% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.