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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+0.63vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.85+2.03vs Predicted
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3American University-1.01+1.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.04+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.90+0.41vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.05-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.29-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Virginia Tech0.9759.0%1st Place
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4.03Drexel University-0.858.0%1st Place
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4.04American University-1.018.6%1st Place
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4.19SUNY Stony Brook-1.046.9%1st Place
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5.41University of Maryland-1.902.9%1st Place
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4.2William and Mary-1.057.8%1st Place
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4.51University of Delaware-1.297.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 59.0% | 25.6% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 8.0% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Lance Shrum | 8.6% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 9.7% |
| Alexandra Leen | 6.9% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 11.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 40.8% |
| Conor Farah | 7.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 11.7% |
| Seton Dill | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.