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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+0.97vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+1.18vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.290.00vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.08-1.27vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-1.32-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Michigan State University0.7442.8%1st Place
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3.18Purdue University-0.4913.5%1st Place
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3.0Miami University-0.2916.7%1st Place
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2.73University of Toledo-0.0822.2%1st Place
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4.12Cleveland State University-1.324.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 42.8% | 29.8% | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.5% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 27.1% | 18.2% |
| Margaret Swasey | 16.7% | 19.8% | 24.0% | 25.6% | 14.0% |
| Iain McSweeney | 22.2% | 23.1% | 24.7% | 20.1% | 10.0% |
| Joe Kenealy | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.