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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+6.11vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.51+6.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+3.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16+2.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.24vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73+5.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.89vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+2.45vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.33+0.60vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.35vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-3.72vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-6.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-4.47vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.56Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.45Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.81Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Urska Kosir | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 29.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 18.9% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.2% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.