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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+6.56vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+7.33vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+3.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16+1.83vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+1.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.84vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.51-0.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-3.26vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-0.42vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-5.72vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.33-3.12vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.73-2.51vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.49Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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5.85Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Amina Brown | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 14.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Urska Kosir | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 20.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 28.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.