Race 14B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kelsey Wheeler 9.6% 8.1% 9.9% 8.9% 7.7% 8.8% 6.4% 6.6% 7.3% 7.2% 6.2% 5.1% 3.5% 3.4% 1.3%
Chloe Lepert 6.2% 5.9% 5.8% 8.2% 8.6% 6.9% 6.9% 6.1% 7.8% 7.5% 7.1% 7.5% 6.2% 6.6% 2.7%
Morgan Russom 6.1% 6.0% 6.6% 5.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.1% 7.4% 6.3% 8.9% 9.4% 6.9% 7.2% 4.7% 3.6%
Rebecca Quirke 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 5.2% 6.2% 7.7% 9.8% 15.6% 29.1%
Hannah Polster 10.5% 11.6% 8.7% 9.9% 7.7% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 6.6% 4.4% 4.7% 3.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.3% 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% 7.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 4.5% 2.2%
Amina Brown 8.3% 6.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 8.2% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.8% 5.8% 4.1% 2.1%
Urska Kosir 8.5% 9.1% 9.5% 6.8% 6.9% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 8.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3%
Nikole Barnes 13.7% 14.1% 11.3% 10.5% 10.7% 8.9% 8.7% 5.6% 6.3% 3.7% 3.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Johanna Kincaid 6.5% 6.4% 8.6% 7.3% 6.8% 8.9% 7.9% 7.1% 6.8% 8.3% 7.3% 6.8% 4.7% 4.6% 2.0%
Merritt Moran 2.8% 4.4% 3.9% 5.3% 5.3% 3.7% 5.0% 7.4% 5.4% 7.6% 6.9% 7.8% 10.7% 12.8% 11.0%
Rachel Perry 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 8.7% 12.2% 15.1% 17.6%
Victoria McGruer 2.2% 2.2% 3.4% 4.3% 3.3% 3.6% 3.3% 3.6% 6.1% 6.2% 6.0% 10.1% 12.9% 13.7% 19.1%
Allyson Donahue 10.3% 10.5% 9.3% 10.3% 9.0% 7.1% 8.8% 7.5% 6.6% 6.6% 5.0% 3.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Colleen Hartman 4.7% 4.6% 5.3% 4.6% 5.9% 5.4% 6.0% 6.4% 6.6% 6.1% 8.9% 10.3% 9.3% 8.8% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.