Race 15B

mrs-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Urska Kosir 8.7% 8.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.0% 8.8% 6.3% 7.4% 7.4% 6.8% 6.1% 5.6% 3.9% 2.1% 2.4%
Kelsey Wheeler 9.2% 9.0% 10.1% 8.6% 8.5% 6.3% 8.5% 7.0% 8.4% 6.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.2% 2.7% 0.8%
Rachel Perry 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 3.3% 4.3% 4.5% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 6.8% 6.3% 9.5% 11.0% 14.7% 15.8%
Johanna Kincaid 7.6% 6.7% 8.1% 7.6% 8.4% 7.6% 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 4.5% 4.1% 2.3%
Nikole Barnes 14.1% 13.2% 8.7% 11.8% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 6.8% 4.0% 4.7% 3.4% 2.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Hannah Polster 10.5% 10.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.5% 10.5% 8.4% 7.8% 6.3% 5.3% 4.6% 3.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Colleen Hartman 5.1% 4.6% 4.2% 5.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 7.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.9% 8.7% 9.2% 6.9%
Allyson Donahue 10.0% 11.5% 10.2% 9.4% 7.9% 7.3% 8.3% 7.9% 7.9% 5.2% 5.3% 3.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.7%
Amina Brown 6.7% 5.3% 8.7% 7.8% 8.0% 7.0% 7.6% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 7.7% 6.3% 4.9% 4.1% 1.7%
Rebecca Quirke 2.0% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 2.7% 4.6% 3.6% 4.9% 5.2% 5.2% 7.7% 10.6% 17.2% 28.3%
Chloe Lepert 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 5.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.4% 8.0% 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.8% 6.9% 7.0% 3.8%
Victoria McGruer 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 4.7% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 7.4% 8.7% 12.0% 15.0% 19.4%
Morgan Russom 5.6% 5.7% 5.5% 6.4% 6.0% 6.2% 7.5% 6.2% 7.0% 9.3% 9.7% 8.7% 7.1% 5.6% 3.5%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.9% 6.7% 6.5% 7.7% 8.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.7% 5.8% 6.1% 4.6% 3.2%
Merritt Moran 3.4% 4.8% 3.8% 3.5% 5.5% 5.9% 5.2% 5.2% 5.5% 7.8% 7.9% 8.2% 11.5% 10.9% 10.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.