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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.87vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+4.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.18vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-0.37vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.16-1.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-1.37vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.33-0.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-3.65vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.51-3.01vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.73-1.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.86vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-4.45vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.56Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.99University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.14Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.55Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.36Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Amina Brown | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 31.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.