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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+5.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.16+8.96vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+8.10vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.96vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+3.36vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+4.46vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+2.38vs Predicted
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103.24+0.55vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.47vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-3.94vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.47-3.14vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.51-4.75vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-6.50vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-1.89vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.37-2.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.99vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.84-6.69vs Predicted
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20George Washington University2.28-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.96Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.553.240.0%1st Place
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11.47SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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8.5Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.11University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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12.31Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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14.93George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Connor Needham | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Alex Post | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 17.5% |
| John Kinzel | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Colin Kennedy | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.