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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+10.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+7.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+6.41vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+3.86vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+3.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.03vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.84+5.76vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16+2.75vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65-0.46vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-1.55vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.52vs Predicted
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123.24-1.21vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.10-5.99vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44+0.15vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-5.66vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.15-5.07vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.28-2.32vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.96vs Predicted
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19Fordham University3.11-7.86vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.37-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.42University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.41Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.76Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.52SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.793.240.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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14.68George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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11.14Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Connor Needham | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Alex Post | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 21.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| John Kinzel | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.