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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+7.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+6.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.03vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+5.25vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+4.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+2.74vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-0.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.15+1.89vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-0.28vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44+0.12vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-5.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.15vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.28-2.31vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.37-3.48vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.84-6.63vs Predicted
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203.24-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.46Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.74College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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11.5SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.98Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.55Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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14.69George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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12.37Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.653.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Post | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Connor Needham | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 17.8% |
| OJ O'Connell | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 20.9% |
| John Kinzel | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 19.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.