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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.55vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.42-0.45vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82-0.79vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.26-0.94vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7911.2%1st Place
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2.55U. S. Naval Academy2.6028.5%1st Place
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2.55Georgetown University2.4228.5%1st Place
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3.21George Washington University1.8217.3%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.268.8%1st Place
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4.78Christopher Newport University0.735.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 22.9% | 18.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 28.5% | 26.4% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 28.5% | 26.6% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 17.3% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 7.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 25.4% | 21.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.