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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.36-2.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.22-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.74vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 24.6% | 22.1% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.6% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 23.9% | 20.5% | 8.5% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 30.8% | 26.4% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 30.5% | 28.6% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 23.1% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.