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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-0.85+2.69vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97-0.45vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.04+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.29+0.33vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.90-0.85vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.09-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Drexel University-0.859.8%1st Place
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1.55Virginia Tech0.9762.5%1st Place
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3.89SUNY Stony Brook-1.048.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Delaware-1.295.5%1st Place
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3.93American University-1.017.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Maryland-1.904.2%1st Place
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5.46William and Mary-2.092.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Randle | 9.8% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Zachary Bender | 62.5% | 24.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Leen | 8.2% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 6.8% |
| Seton Dill | 5.5% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 11.2% |
| Lance Shrum | 7.1% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Caroline Fuller | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 29.6% |
| Jonah Peters | 2.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 20.3% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.