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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+4.67vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+8.32vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+3.43vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.15+4.28vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51+1.05vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47+0.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+0.95vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-3.06vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-1.15vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.65-5.38vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.28-0.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.11vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo2.44-2.98vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.37-3.49vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.84-6.66vs Predicted
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203.24-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.43SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.67Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.32Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.43Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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9.05Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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14.66George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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14.51University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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12.34Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.693.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Alex Post | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Connor Needham | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 22.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.4% |
| John Kinzel | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 18.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.