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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+6.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+5.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+4.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+4.45vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+1.93vs Predicted
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73.24+3.88vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+2.32vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11+1.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.28+3.83vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-4.89vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44+0.10vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.51-5.67vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.84-3.58vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.16-6.19vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.15-6.95vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.37-4.64vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.39SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.48Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.883.240.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.21Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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14.83George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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14.1University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.33Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.42Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.81Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Connor Needham | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 23.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.6% |
| Alex Post | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| John Kinzel | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.