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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+10.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+7.25vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+6.63vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+7.18vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.84+7.36vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+2.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.17vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.21vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.37+4.47vs Predicted
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113.24-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-2.51vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.65vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.69-5.58vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.82-7.06vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.65-7.39vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.16-6.20vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo2.44-3.77vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.15-8.07vs Predicted
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20George Washington University2.28-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.41University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.63Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.18Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.36Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.43Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.56Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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14.47University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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10.663.240.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.42Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.61College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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14.91George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Alex Post | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Needham | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 18.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 17.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.