Race 1A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ryan Hamilton 10.2% 10.6% 10.4% 12.2% 11.8% 13.0% 14.6% 10.3% 7.0%
Declan Botwinick 24.4% 18.9% 16.9% 13.1% 11.2% 7.5% 4.8% 2.2% 1.1%
Kevin Carse 3.6% 5.1% 7.0% 6.3% 6.7% 9.2% 11.9% 18.1% 32.0%
Nils Tullberg 12.5% 13.9% 11.6% 15.0% 13.6% 11.8% 9.8% 8.0% 3.9%
Shea Smith 19.0% 17.3% 15.0% 13.5% 12.2% 9.5% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9%
Henri Richardsson 5.4% 5.5% 6.9% 8.9% 10.2% 12.2% 13.4% 18.2% 19.3%
Hal Clews 5.3% 5.9% 7.6% 9.3% 9.2% 11.3% 13.9% 17.2% 20.1%
Tyler Egeli 7.6% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 11.2% 13.1% 14.0% 13.2% 10.2%
Sam Monaghan 11.9% 12.5% 14.4% 11.5% 14.0% 12.4% 10.3% 8.5% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.