← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.49+2.92vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy0.14+4.53vs Predicted
-
3McGill University0.38+3.15vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.80-0.73vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.71-0.09vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.64vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.26-2.55vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.89vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.31-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.92Northwestern University1.4914.8%1st Place
-
6.53Maine Maritime Academy0.144.6%1st Place
-
6.15McGill University0.384.7%1st Place
-
3.27University of Rhode Island1.8023.1%1st Place
-
4.91University of Vermont0.7110.5%1st Place
-
5.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.7%1st Place
-
4.45Northeastern University1.2613.9%1st Place
-
6.11Maine Maritime Academy0.415.7%1st Place
-
4.29Salve Regina University1.3114.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shea Smith | 14.8% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
Kevin Carse | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 28.9% |
Hal Clews | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 21.8% |
Declan Botwinick | 23.1% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Ryan Hamilton | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
Tyler Egeli | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 9.3% |
Sam Monaghan | 13.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
Henri Richardsson | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 21.9% |
Nils Tullberg | 14.1% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.