Race 3A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nils Tullberg 13.9% 12.8% 14.2% 13.3% 13.4% 11.3% 10.4% 7.3% 3.2%
Sam Monaghan 11.8% 12.7% 11.9% 13.0% 12.8% 12.1% 11.8% 8.4% 5.5%
Kevin Carse 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.2% 6.7% 9.7% 13.0% 18.4% 31.2%
Henri Richardsson 6.9% 6.0% 7.3% 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 13.4% 17.1% 20.4%
Shea Smith 16.1% 17.4% 15.6% 13.9% 12.8% 11.0% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4%
Declan Botwinick 22.3% 19.8% 16.1% 14.1% 10.5% 8.4% 5.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Ryan Hamilton 9.8% 11.0% 12.0% 11.8% 12.7% 13.7% 11.4% 11.1% 6.5%
Tyler Egeli 9.0% 8.1% 10.2% 11.5% 12.8% 12.6% 12.8% 14.0% 8.9%
Hal Clews 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 10.4% 14.2% 17.1% 22.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.