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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+8.26vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.37+12.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+8.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+7.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+3.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10+0.79vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.97vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72+0.07vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.20vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+2.43vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11+0.33vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.28+3.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-3.32vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-7.09vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo2.44-0.93vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-4.52vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.16-6.27vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.47-8.43vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.63vs Predicted
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203.24-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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14.45University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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11.09University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.42Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.79Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.07Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.8Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.43Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.33Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.0George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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14.07University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.73Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.683.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| John Kinzel | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Colin Kennedy | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 22.8% |
| OJ O'Connell | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 17.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Connor Needham | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.