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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+10.36vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+7.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+5.51vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+2.66vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15+5.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.96vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82-0.29vs Predicted
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93.24+1.45vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+2.49vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69-2.48vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.51-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo2.44+1.48vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-3.13vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-5.75vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.37-1.67vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-10.19vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.11-6.74vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-7.10vs Predicted
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20George Washington University2.28-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.36University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.66Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.38SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.453.240.0%1st Place
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12.49Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.49Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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14.48University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.87Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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14.33University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.26Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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14.93George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Connor Needham | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alex Post | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 19.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| John Kinzel | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 18.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Colin Kennedy | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.