Race 4A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Egeli 9.7% 8.9% 10.0% 11.8% 11.8% 12.4% 14.7% 12.2% 8.6%
Nils Tullberg 12.8% 14.2% 12.7% 12.5% 13.9% 12.3% 10.8% 7.5% 3.2%
Sam Monaghan 13.7% 12.1% 12.8% 12.1% 13.2% 11.9% 10.4% 9.0% 4.7%
Ryan Hamilton 10.8% 10.5% 11.1% 12.4% 10.8% 11.9% 13.6% 11.1% 7.6%
Shea Smith 16.0% 15.7% 14.6% 14.4% 13.6% 11.2% 7.2% 5.5% 1.8%
Declan Botwinick 20.3% 20.5% 17.6% 14.4% 10.3% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 1.3%
Kevin Carse 4.7% 4.4% 6.3% 6.2% 7.4% 9.2% 12.8% 18.9% 30.0%
Hal Clews 6.8% 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 9.6% 10.8% 12.2% 18.1% 20.2%
Henri Richardsson 5.2% 6.9% 6.9% 8.5% 9.4% 11.8% 13.4% 15.5% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.